Imagine that there is a Mass Murderer, (we can call him S. Bundy) He is unlike any ever known. He is able to go undetected, and this guy began killing people across the entire nation. He killed and killed and killed. Til he got to 45,000 victims. But he’s not done. Within a month he is going to have killed over 100,000 of us. (And he would have already killed many many more of us, except a month or so ago, we all agreed to stop everything and hide.)
Now some, can’t hang with the hiding plan, so we need a different plan. We prepare to do what we need to do in order to track down his movements. We gather all of the information that we need to face him where he is. THEN we dance.
But if we try to dance before we are ready, we will fail. 3 weeks later, S. Bundy is not only still on the loose, but his rate of killing is then going to be going higher. And we will still need to learn to dance.
To even START any questionable relaxation of social distancing, NOW, random TESTING for active C-19 infection in a given population should be LOW. If you are picking up 20% as positive tests in a random pop., then that is WAY TOO HIGH to start opening up.
SO in the meantime, leave the shutdown in place, and start doing testing/CONTACT TRACING and ramp that up!, cause there will be a lot of it to do.
One other thing. Everyone with a cellphone should opt in to being tracked for the purpose of tracking the C-19.
(AND why the hell is it not yet mandatory for all to wear a face covering in public?)