The forecast “predicts that 41 states will need more ICU beds than they currently have available and that 11 states may need to increase their ICU beds by 50% or more to meet patient needs before the current wave of the pandemic ends. (The end is defined as fewer than 10 deaths per day nationwide.)”
The medical system could quite possibly be breaking down significantly by mid April.
But IF we keep protecting ourselves and communities by “strongly adhering to social distancing measures and by taking other precautions advised by public health officials” we may avert the worst outcomes. e.g., "…based on observed death rates, this forecast estimates that over the next four months in the US, approximately 81,000 people will die from the virus. Estimates range between 38,000 and 162,000 US deaths. If we do not suppress societal interaction that spreads the virus, then the estimates would go up accordingly.
JUST MAYBE we could be coming out of this in the summer, and then VERY CAREFULLY determine how we can begin opening the economy back up. I would count us lucky if we can get thru this 1st COVID-19 wave with only 81,000 US citizens killed by it. (The death toll is less than 2000, atm. So how, you ask, do we get to that forecast of 81,000 four months from now? Get a clue about the “exponential” expansion of highly transmissible diseases. And give T rump a clue, while you’re at it.).
So there is some optimism for later this year. I am pessimistic about the things we are going to go thru in April, however. I think that a very dark April is awaiting us. But MAYBE, just maybe the spread rate will slow in the hot months, by this summer.