The only time Trump won was through the backdoor of the electoral college.
Hillary had the popular vote.
An examination of the 2016 electorate, based on validated voters
One of the biggest challenges facing those who seek to understand U.S. elections is establishing an accurate portrait of the American electorate and the choices made by different kinds of voters. Obtaining accurate data on how people voted is difficult for a number of reasons.
The analysis in this report uses post-election survey reports of 2016 vote preferences (conducted Nov. 29-Dec. 12, 2016) among those who were identified as having voted using official voting records. These voter file records become available in the months after the election.
(For more details, see âMethodology.â) Among these verified voters, the overall vote preference mirrors the election results very closely: 48% reported voting for Hillary Clinton and 45% for Donald Trump; by comparison, the official national vote tally was 48% for Clinton, 46% for Trump.
Youâre either young or not from the States. Dummy polls are polls the use dummy variables, which are not accurate in predictions, but used for polls prior to the actual election and sadly these dummy polls can influence peopleâs votes. They shouldnât influence, but they do. My responses are hardly cult like. Those who follow the dotard are âcult likeâ, but you enjoy insulting others. Thing is, youâre not worth taking insult over.
Here is more on the polls you think are so accurate in making predictions:
Samples donât always mirror the demographics of the population from which they are drawn. So survey methodologists make [adjustments](https://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/For-Researchers/Poll-Survey-FAQ/Weighting.aspx) that better capture populations with specific demographics and ensure the estimate is more representative of all U.S. adults or households.
Sometimes, people will say what they think another person wants to hear, even if itâs not true. In polling, that behavior is called social desirability, and the way a person hears or sees a question (over the phone, in person, in a mailed-in paper form) can influence how they respond, as well as the way questions are framed and organized in the survey itself.
I could go on, but basically the polls, prior to the elections, are nothing more reading tarot cards.
Youâre only showing one poll. Be that as it may, I donât care about any of the polls right now. They donât matter and it doesnât matter which one is a dummy poll. I donât even look at them because I do not base my vote on them. The only poll that matters is on Election Day.
