New Years Predictions

Now that it’s a new year let’s make predictions about what might happen in 2021.

A few off the top:

Covid19 will start to fade from importance around spring but the debate over public gatherings, etc. will continue into 2022.

Biden administration will be business as usual and will constantly be compared to Obama’s time in office rather than Trump’s.

There will be some manufactured drama with Iran.

Science will continue to lose credibility; especially medicine.

… and right wing extremism will continue their immersion into utter disconnect from physical reality, as many march in lock step with führer trump into sociopathic self-imposed insanity. While trying to drag all of the rest of us down into their self-destructive cesspool with them.

“critical thinking” will be discussed on all levels, from elementary school on up to the Supreme Court.

and right wing extremism will continue their immersion into utter disconnect from physical reality, as many march in lock step with führer trump into sociopathic self-imposed insanity. While trying to drag all of the rest of us down into their self-destructive cesspool with them.
Let's try to keep it as realistic as possible.
“critical thinking” will be discussed on all levels, from elementary school on up to the Supreme Court.
That would be something. It wouldn't go anywhere but it would be different.

Time will tell. I do hope most do see the light. A good start would be to examine why they adore the overgrown brat and con artist.

I have just received a very interesting paper : " Why Humans Are Vulnerable to Conspiracy Theories " by Richard A. Friedman, M.D.

Just an abstract : One study, for example, asked participants how likely they were to believe a common conspiracy theory, such as the U.S. government having advance
knowledge of the 9/11 attacks. Researchers also rated their belief in an experimentally fabricated conspiracy theory, that the makers of the popular drink Red Bull add substances to it that raise consumers’ desire for the product. Then they asked the participants to rate the extent to which they believed that a random computer-generated sequence of coin flips (i.e., heads or tails) was fully random or fully determined. Participants who were more likely to detect order in this random sequence were also more prone to endorse belief in conspiracies. The clear implication of the study is that having a strong bias to find structure and purpose in the world makes us susceptible to conspiracies because they give us a clear, if erroneous, explanation of how events fit together."

I am not sure that this message is in the right place. sorry.

 

Women will continue to be more conspicuously absent from the workforce and it will take years for them to return.

Senator Mitch McConnell will continue to do his best to destroy any Dem bill that enters his vision in an attempt to paint the current state of his party as not being morally gutless and unaware that they follow horrendous leaders.

One America News Network will partner with Donnie Trump for a sanguinary TV show of some sort.

The world economy will wake up but slowly.

I will continue to view religion as the last thing of any gravity keeping us chained to human prehistory, and the disputation involved in it’s continued marginalization the most important to participate in.

 

Biden’s first hundred days will be a disaster. Pelosi’s quest to eliminate Trump will go nowhere and only make him a martyr to his base; he will come into the 2022 elections stronger than ever. Recognizing that he will likely lose the Hose in 2022, Biden will break even further with the radical left and they will revolt.

The bill to confiscate the funds in your IRA and 401K accounts and give you Social Security credits for that money will be introduced once again. A bill to tax every financial transaction, from credit and debit card purchases and payments to stock and bond purchases and sales, will also be reintroduced. The stock market bubble will burst in a repeat of the decline 20 years ago.

Knowing that Biden won’t allow the use of nukes, our emboldened enemies will suck us into another no-win ground war. Using cyber warfare and armed attack satellites China will cripple electronic communication world wide. International trade disruptions will cause food riots in China.

The stock market bubble will burst in a repeat of the decline 20 years ago.
Get your historical facts straight!

You have conveniently forgotten that financial disaster was under another Republican president. This will be the third time the Democrats have to bail out the nation from the mismanagement of Republican governance.

This president (Trump) has been an unmitigated disaster and it will take major economic policies to once again pull the bus from the financial ditch the republicans have driven it in. Tax cuts for the rich, but no economic stimulus for the working class (trickle down economics) has once again proved to be a national calamity.

Get your historical facts straight!
So, tell us when the "dot com" bubble did burst if it wasn't 20 years ago.

I forgot about this thread.

Biden’s first hundred days will be a disaster. Pelosi’s quest to eliminate Trump will go nowhere and only make him a martyr to his base; he will come into the 2022 elections stronger than ever. Recognizing that he will likely lose the Hose in 2022, Biden will break even further with the radical left and they will revolt.

The bill to confiscate the funds in your IRA and 401K accounts and give you Social Security credits for that money will be introduced once again. A bill to tax every financial transaction, from credit and debit card purchases and payments to stock and bond purchases and sales, will also be reintroduced. The stock market bubble will burst in a repeat of the decline 20 years ago.

Knowing that Biden won’t allow the use of nukes, our emboldened enemies will suck us into another no-win ground war. Using cyber warfare and armed attack satellites China will cripple electronic communication world wide. International trade disruptions will cause food riots in China.


Pretty grim. Doubtful any of this will happen, though. I think Trump is done with politics even if he’s not impeached.

Pretty grim. Doubtful any of this will happen, though. I think Trump is done with politics even if he’s not impeached.

 

Don’t be optimistic, the Republican party is still behind him !

In the “News Related to the Previous ‘Administration’ That’s Actually True” category…

China to leapfrog U.S. as world’s biggest economy by 2028: think tank

Electing morally bankrupt, populist, anti-science, anti-internationalist leaders has lasting effects of serious gravity for the U.S. Who’d have known??

These predictions about Chinese economy taking over the world have been around for a long time and they are always wrong. However, China probably will dominate us economically at least, at some point in the near future.

In 1800, China and India combined represented more than 50 % of the world gross product.

There are roughly 7 800 000 000 inhabitants in the world. China has 1 400 000 000 inhabitants. If only 1/3 of theses inhabitants work and produce, it would not be a surprise if they do as well as USA 325 000 000 inhabitants.

Now, productivity of China Labour is very low, roughly 30 % of the one of Industrial western countries.

USA labour productivity is not the highest in the world either but it was ranked the fifth in 2015.

https://time.com/4621185/worker-productivity-countries/#:~:text=The%20United%20States%20ranks%20fifth,countries%20with%20higher%20productivity%20rankings.

Other statistics

https://ilostat.ilo.org/fr/topics/labour-productivity/

 

 

 

@thatoneguy I doubt it could be interpreted that a world takeover can be interpreted from China beginning to dominate economically, though the repercussions of the U.S. not leading in this category will certainly be increasingly significant, IMHO.

This also raises the question: In what other areas will the U.S. lose the global advantage if a combination of challenging factors presents itself and we happen to have leadership in place who imagine matters can be handled as though this were the mid 20th Century?

One of the most important difficulty is in the demesne of research !

USA are attractive for scientists because they are the first and have money. If other countries can concurrence them at this level, USA will lose an advantage.

Other matter: When you are the first, you decide which technology you export and how. When you become dependant, you must export technology. China has benefitted from USa technology for years. now it is becoming self sufficient.

Trump has decided to deprive China of some advanced technological products, one can bet that China will make as good one very fast. and China has a big advantage: it produce the raw materials needed to produce the goods

 

 

China probably will dominate us economically at least, at some point in the near future.
China's farmers cannot feed the Chinese population. Europe does not grow enough food to feed its population either. Both are dependent on imported food. Every country in Africa exports food to Europe. China imports significant amounts of food from the USA, Canada, Brazil and Argentina and less from Africa. China is making big investments in Africa in order to secure increased food imports from there.

China is unlikely to overcome its dependence on the rest of the world for food in this century. International trade disruptions have the potential to put China into a famine situation. They have to be nice to the rest of the world or face hunger. Their government won’t survive their very large middle class going hungry.

Should their very large next door neighbor, India, be forced into the world-wide search for food we will see the potential for conflict with death and political upheaval on a massive scale in both nations. Consider that the governments of the USA and Europe won’t allow their populations to go hungry and that those populations feel not much connection with India and even less with China. The USA and Europe are likely to let China and India just fight it out.

Every country in Africa exports food to Europe. -- Bob
Maybe. But on the whole, Africa is net importer of food. There is vast potential for agriculture there and China's investments are probably not going to consider the small holder farmer, or promote democracy.