Found on the French net, goggle translated
We must no longer reason on outdated models, while the world is in full reconfiguration.
Putin’s goal is to reconstitute the Russian empire.
In fact, we have two totalitarian empires, Russia and China, and an empire that could take a similar path, the USA.
For them, international politics has returned to the era of empires.
For these three empires, their problem is to define their margins by reciprocal concessions, within the framework of power relations and limited confrontations.
There are no more allies, there are colonies and vassals.
In this scheme, Trump could concede Taiwan to China.
And Europe?
None of the three powers wants it. They prefer independent countries, divided and turned into vassals at will.
They want bilateral relations with each European state, in a balance of power that would be favorable to them. In this scheme, European states are opposed to each other and vulnerable.
In the 19th century, European states built trading posts, relying heavily on local leaders whom they opposed to their neighbors. When their position was strong enough, they got rid of their allies and attacked the next ones.
When Africa was conquered, they divided it up by treaty.
Ukraine would be divided. A Russian puppet would be put at its head, but American economic interests would be shared.
On January 1, 2022, NATO was in a cerebral coma, it was Putin who woke it up. Trump will finish it off.
We need a European defense, which requires a common foreign policy.