Title was dated, and I’ll want to add more stories as this one unfolds.
September 10,
11:10 AM EDT Sun morning of Sept, 10th Location: 25.0°N 81.5°W Moving: N at 9 mph Min pressure: 933 mb Max sustained: 130 mph http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Tthis guy's worth listening to, sticks to the facts. Paul Beckwith Track Superstorm Irma in Real-Time: Tutorial (Sept 7th https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQlGj5pHJVk Tornadoes Galore in Florida, spinning off Superstorm Irma https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9GYivvuJis~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
878 mb Storm Off North Florida — The Model Forecast for Irma that no one Wants to See Happen SEPTEMBER 3, 2017 https://robertscribbler.com/2017/09/03/878-mb-storm-off-north-florida-the-model-forecast-for-irma-that-no-one-wants-to-see-happen/ As the United States struggles to recover from severe damage inflicted by one hurricane made far worse by climate change, another powerful storm is brewing over the hotter than normal waters of the tropical North Atlantic. As of the 5 PM Atlantic Standard Time statement from the National Hurricane Center, Irma was positioned about 1,100 miles east of the Leeward Islands in the central tropical Atlantic. The storm hosted a small circulation, packing 110 mph winds and a minimum central pressure of 973 mb. Over the next few days, according to the Hurricane Center, Irma is presently expected to reach major hurricane status with 130 mph maximum sustained winds. ... Looking beyond the official forecast, some of the our best long range model runs are putting together some seriously scary predictions for Irma. By next week, the Global Forecast System (GFS) model shows Irma as a 878 mb monster hurricane looming about 300 miles off Florida. 878 mb would represent the lowest pressures ever recorded in a hurricane in the Atlantic (The present strongest Atlantic storm was Wilma at 882 mb. The devastating Labor Day Hurricane hit 892 mb.). And it would almost certainly represent the strongest storm in our records ever to venture so far North. 878 mb roughly corresponds with maximum sustained winds in excess of 170 mph and possibly as high as 200 mph or more. And we’ve never seen something like that threatening the Central Atlantic U.S. East Coast in all of the modern era. ... This long range model scenario is not, however, an official forecast. It’s just what the GFS atmospheric computer models are presently spitting out. And such long range predictions from a single model, no matter how reliable, should be taken with at least a pinch of salt. That said, we should certainly, as the NHC recommends, keep our eyes on Irma and keep our response plans ready. Links to: The National Hurricane Center - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Earth Nullschool - https://earth.nullschool.net/ Tropical Tidbits - https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ List of Most Intense Tropical CyclonesNow we shall see how it unfolds.