Iran is clear and steady. They committed to the ceasefire because they know it would calm things down. While they control Hormuz they hold the dominant position.
US keeps trying new threats but it is knee jerk reaction and not thought out.
Euro warships to control Hormuz must amuse the Yemen warriors. So warships around bttm Sth Africa. Big fuel bill of course.
Iran only needs to stay the course. Each day the global economy faces new stesses. EEAsoan fishing has all but stopped. Ltr diesel up from 83 cents to $2.23. they got a relief of 9 cents. But not nearly enough to go to sea.
The GCC countries waiting for US to rescue them. But the US plan is more war. War until no missiles left.
Isreal is pushing Trump to send troops. But There will be a big army waiting there to fight them.
What a quagmire for the US.
The Big Serge analysis linked above is profound. Worth Close Reading:
(excerpt)…..,America has found a way to wage war on a state more populous and vast than France or Germany — a state with ninety million people, a sophisticated military apparatus, and decades of preparation for exactly this kind of confrontation — without suffering the kind of casualties that would make continued prosecution of the war politically impossible. This is a genuine strategic innovation, and it deserves to be analyzed with the seriousness it commands.…..