I have been a scientist and skeptic for decades, and I still am. I am a scientist with a strong scientific background. I used to not believe in paranormal abilities such as clairvoyance, but now I do because I have learned how to train for it, I’ve put effort into it, and I’ve developed it to a very basic level so far (I want to stress “basic”). I think there is a physical and biological basis for how this works, which is that matter has quantum mechanical entanglement relationships that we can detect and process similar to visual stimuli. Most people who believe in these things have many other irrational beliefs. What is different about me is that I have the mindset of a skeptic.
Here is what I would like to demonstrate:
I’ve been working with my daughter on developing these paranormal abilities, and she would be my assistant in the demonstration. While I am blindfolded, my daughter is elsewhere. Her location doesn’t really matter, as long as the location is far enough away to ensure there is no “leakage” of clues. My daughter rolls a die to randomly determine whether she will wiggle her thumb on either her left hand, or her right hand. My task is to determine, while blindfolded in a separate location, whether she is moving the thumb on her left hand or right hand.
I know that to demonstrate a paranormal ability to other skeptics there would be a high bar to clear, so I am posting this to begin the process. I’m not 100% sure I’ll go through with it, but I am strongly considering it. If for no other reason, I believe the implications for physics and biology are substantial. And $250,000 would be nice too.
Obviously the demonstration I outlined 2 paragraphs above is statistically a 50-50 outcome, so one or ten demonstrations would not be enough. What I want to find out from CFI members are, what significance of P value would be required? I think it would be acceptable to define criteria ahead of time, such as what kind of statistical analysis would be done with the trial data (should be easy, it’s like the statistics of flipping a coin), and how significant of a P value is needed? For example, would P < 0.000001 be acceptable, which is better than one in a million by chance? I would want to know the statistical criteria in advance, so that while I continue to train privately, I can see what my success rate is, and then in a controlled setting I’d propose a trial number large enough that I could “comfortably” get to the pre-determined significance level, assuming I can perform similarly under scrutiny.
Then there are logistical concerns to establish that I am not cheating. Since I am a skeptic, I know how skeptics think. If I was to try to do this demonstration, the conditions would need to leave no doubt. How would I prove that I don’t have some secret hidden transmitter? The best I can come up with is that I’d have to remove all of my clothing, my watch and jewelry, go through an airport security scanner with a qualified operator who could judge that I have nothing hidden, then to do the test clothed I would need to wear clothes provided by a neutral 3rd party to ensure I don’t have something hidden in my clothes. If I go forward with this, I’d be willing to go through that level of scrutiny. My daughter would be involved, but I would not want to subject her to that, nor would it be necessary if it is sufficiently established that I have no conventional means to receive information from her.
Another consideration is that I doubt I could do all the necessary trials in one session. So far, when I do this the ability gets fatigued. Maybe I might only be able to do 5 trials at one time, and I might need to do this on 20 separate occasions for 100 total trials, for example. I’m not sure yet, I need to train more.
Is there any documentation of previous attempts at winning the $250,000 prize? I would like to see what other people have tried in the past.
Any input people have is welcome.