Why would that be a deal breaker?
How much it rises depends on what we do!
How much it rises also depends on where, and how, you chose to measure.
(Global increase)
For instance, are we going to calculate the entire system based on satellite measurements of absorption and transmission of heat at the top the entire global system, that is upper atmosphere.
(global circulation)
But then once warning get’s into our global heat and moisture distribution engine, it moves through many, many different pathways and complexities and averaging it out accurately simply isn’t possible. So you are setting up impossible expectation.
Global atmospheric and ocean circulation systems (Lecture) with Dr Celia Martin Puertas
Jan 24, 2022, RHUL Geography, 20 min
In this video, Dr. Celia Martin Puertas highlights the role of the atmosphere and the ocean in the Earth’s climate system. This is composed of five main elements, i.e. the atmosphere, the hydrosphere, the biosphere, the lithosphere and the cryosphere, which are responsible for absorbing and reflecting the solar energy. In addition, the atmosphere and the ocean distribute the heat received from the Sun from the equator to the polar regions, making our planet a nice place to live and rich in biodiversity. You will learn about the difference between weather and climate, the origin of the different climatic regions and biomes, why we have a lot of rain in the UK and how the ocean currents flow around the globe. This lecture corresponds to the following components of the A-Level syllabus: AQA – 3.1.1 Water and carbon cycles OCR – Topic 1.2 Earth’s Life Support Systems Pearson-Edexcel – Topic 5 The Water Cycle and Water Insecurity.
or more formally:OCE 1001 Lecture; Water & Ocean Structure
Jan 1, 2018 - Dave Cocchiarella - 56:00 min.
This Lecture is meant for students of OCE 1001 An Introduction to Oceanography at Valencia College and Seminole State College. The content is taken for the textbook Essentials of Oceanography, 8th Edition, from Cengage Learning, 2018 and written by Tom Garrison and Robert Ellis.
I believe we have to deal with the information we have at hand.
You can ignore that; pretend this information doesn’t exist; claim this information exists but can’t be trusted, you can insist that it’s insignificant. But that doesn’t conform to rationally processing the information we have at hand:
This info-bit ought to help us appreciate just how bad it is.
It’s more complicated than you assume, and you don’t understand the details enough to make such statements.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
David Archer is the author of Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast, published by John Wiley and Sons and a book for popular audiences called The Long Thaw: How Humans are Changing the Next 100,000 years of the Earth’s Climate, published by Princeton University Press and winner of the 2009 Walter P. Kistler Award, The Foundation for the Future.
Since 1993, Archer has been a professor in the department of Geophysical Sciences at the University of Chicago and has worked on a wide range of topics pertaining to the global carbon cycle and its relation to the global climate, with a special focus on ocean sedimentary processes such as CaCO3 dissolution and methane hydrate formation and their impact on the evolution of atmospheric CO2.He currently teaches classes on global warming, environmental chemistry and global geochemical cycles.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Online Models v
Preface vii
1 Humankind and Climate 1
Part I The Greenhouse Effect 7
2 Blackbody Radiation 9
3 The Layer Model 19
4 Greenhouse Gases 29
5 What Holds the Atmosphere Up? 43
6 Weather and Climate 57
7 Feedbacks 73
Part II The Carbon Cycle 87
8 Carbon on Earth 89
9 Fossil Fuels and Energy 103
10 The Perturbed Carbon Cycle 119
Part III The Forecast 133
11 The Smoking Gun 135
12 Potential Climate Impacts 153
13 Decisions, Decisions 173
Glossary 191
Index 197
So what are you going to confront them with? That they can’t be 100% accurate?
In all of this you seem unconcerned with the stakes we are gambling with, dismissing real experts and their nuanced honest sharing of information as “propaganda” reveals yourself to be a bit of a propaganda tool yourself. Do you recognize that?
Melodramatic dismissal of expert understanding based on misreading sentences (by accident or deliberately) is pretty foolish. Sometimes you write as though you understand that, then you turn around a pull off a disingenuous stunt.
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Oh and Tim, I just realized something else looking back at your above comment. Can you explain why does your writing have this undercurrent that actual climate experts aren’t to be trusted?